We can discuss this at great length over the next several weeks. Keep in mind, this is a simulated result based on probabilities. Not an exact science of specifically seven points. I only mentioned that to make it a very simple example. Keep in mind that you need to take the number of games multiplied by TWO because there are side and total opportunities on every game. So, there is about one in every four of a POTENTIAL opportunity. These projections are based on weightings and 15-years of data. Now, my study of the fundamentals is critical as well and...

well, to be short with this answer. In one word cancer. Honestly, my cancer trek was one of the single best things to ever have happened to me other than the birth of my children of course. But, I think you get the point.

I was diagnosed with a rare blood cancer called Multiple Myeloma at a young age in December 2000. yes, right before Christmas. I was told that I had about 6 months to live. Had a 5 and 3 year old. Realized I may never even see my daughter go to Kindergarten. But, I made it through, and...

I'll start with this one, but I intend to get to everyone as time permits tonight and into Thursday. A neural network simulator that I built for the purpose of currency trading does not assign specific values to teams or that a line is off by a specific amount. Generally, I get graded plays that have a high probability of exceeding the point spread by 7 points or more. So, over the years, I often see a turnover go against play and think that ok. 'EVEN' now. or if it is my favor the odds go up exponentially that I...

Dear John: Ask the expert



Some of you will already know me from my threads here on the forum and from my articles on SBRforum that have covered all major sports, For those of you that don?t; I have 18 years experience handicapping major US sports (NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL and college). I have a proprietary sports betting database and simulator which I use, in conjunction with my own sports knowledge, to make graded plays that range from the foundation 5* Titan picks, to the less frequent 10* graded Titans, and then the very rare 20* Titan plays that...

This line opened where I expected and so far the early action is two-way with nearly equal number of bets on both teams. Present numbers I am looking at show 53% of all bets being made on Hawaii and 47% on the home dog San Jose State. I don?t see this line dropping much before Friday night and if anything I do believe the lines maker has this game pegged very well.

As a reminder, the lines maker did not make this based on a prediction for the outcome of the game. He made this line based on the level...